In this regular podcast series, MUFG subject matter experts within our business discuss the forces, indications, and policies that impact the U.S. economy and financial markets, and provide updates to their economic outlooks and forecasts for the weeks, months, and years ahead.
Insights from cross-border flows and Japanese lifer fiscal year 2022 investment plans
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido reviews April securities investing flows and Japanese lifers’ investment strategies for the first half of fiscal year 2022. He also shares his views on spot Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen cross-currency basis.
Issuance, and Spreads, and the Fed, oh my…
In today’s episode, MUFG Head of Prepayment Modeling and Strategy Glenn Schultz reviews April’s prepayment data, issuance trends in the agency MBS market, and the Federal Reserve’s MBS portfolio run-off. He discusses how the confluence of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, balance sheet run-off, and issuance and prepayment trends inform MUFG’s ‘old normal’ thesis for the agency MBS valuations and the current coupon spread.
Is Japan’s monetary base in danger of contracting without unlimited daily JGB purchases?
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the April BoJ Monetary Policy Board meeting and BoJ monetary operations, and also outlines the key points regarding JPY cross assets in May. He also shares his views on spot Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis.
MUFG May FOMC Preview: Double-tightening to begin with 50bps and QT
In today’s episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves discusses his FOMC preview for the upcoming May meeting. George believes the Fed cannot flip to dovish this soon, and thus this meeting will likely come across as hawkish as they announce QT and lift rates by 50bps, the first time since 2000.
Exploring the interplay of FCI and rates
In today’s episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy George Goncalves provides an update on what has driven rates higher over the course of April. He also refreshes his view on the interplay of financial conditions, Fed’s QT, and how high short rates can ultimately go in the coming quarters.
A preview of the April BoJ policy meeting
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido previews the April BoJ monetary policy board meeting. He also shares his outlook for Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis ahead of Japan’s “Golden Week” holiday.
What it means to invest in our planet
In today’s episode, Leanne Rakowitz, MUFG Head of ESG Coverage in the Americas, and Amanda Kavanaugh, MUFG Head of Sustainable Finance in the Americas, discuss the importance of this year’s Earth Day theme “invest in our planet,” the global sustainability progress they’ve seen over the past year, and how evolving regulatory activity, trends, and investor interest will impact the market in the year ahead.
Japanese investors reshuffle U.S. bond and Japanese stock positions with implications for Yen basis arbitrage
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects U.S. bond investing flows based on the February USTIC data and discusses the attributes of Japan stock investing flows as reflected by JPX data and what to expect from the Kishida administration. He also shares his views on Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis.
What does Japanese and foreign investor selling of overseas investments in March mean for April?
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects March securities investing flows, the balance between the MoF’s FY22 JGB issuance plans and the BoJ’s JGB buying plans, and the BoJ’s yield control tools. He also shares his views across Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis markets.
The End of the Post Cold War Era
In today’s episode, Hailey Orr, MUFG Capital Markets Strategist, discusses her team’s new publication and implications for the global economy and markets.
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John Cooke
Head of Rates Sales, Americas
New York, NY
1-212-405-7353
John.Cooke@mufgsecurities.com
George Goncalves
Head of U.S. Macro Strategy
New York, NY
1-212-405-6687
George.Goncalves@mufgsecurities.com
Takahiro Sekido
Chief Japan Strategist
Tokyo, Japan
1-81-3-6214-4150
Takahiro_Sekido@mufg.jp
Glenn Schultz
Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy
Chicago, IL
1-212-405-6521
Glenn.Schultz@mufgsecurities.com
The podcast content above is being provided for educational and informational purposes only. The information and comments are not the views or opinions of MUFG Union Bank, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Please consult your attorney, accountant or tax or financial advisor with regard to your particular situation.