In this regular podcast series, MUFG subject matter experts within our business discuss the forces, indications, and policies that impact the U.S. economy and financial markets, and provide updates to their economic outlooks and forecasts for the weeks, months, and years ahead.
Will USDJPY break out of range, or will BoJ current deposits remain the last resort for surplus global funds?
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses Japanese pension fund flows as well as Asian investor U.S. bond flows based on U.S. TIC data, while offering a preview of the June BoJ meeting. He also shares his views for Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
FOMC Preview: The last potential dovish meeting?
In this episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, George Goncalves, returns to discuss some of the drivers that have led to a decent rates rally, even in the midst of record high inflation prints. We also review George’s recent report and provide a recap of what to expect at the June 2021 FOMC meeting.
Are we headed towards the next housing bubble?
In this episode, Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy, discusses how we are in the late stages of the refinance wave and shares his views on where home price appreciation and housing supply is going over the next year.
Japanese life insurance company earnings suggest stabilization of global credit and equity markets as major central banks pull back support
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses Japanese life insurance companies’ investing flows and the impact on markets based on analysis of their FY20 earnings. He also shares his views for the front-end of the JGB curve as well as Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis more generally.
Footprints of the flows that drove price action in Japanese markets in May hint at what to expect in June
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses May JPY cross asset reviews as well as June JPY arbitrage trading triggers. He also shares his views for Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis.
An introduction to our U.S. Macro Strategy platform
In this episode, we are pleased to introduce MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, George Goncalves. George briefly takes us through his strategy approach of the four pillars of a macro analysis, a process that he has fine-tuned and enhanced over his 20 years of being in the financial markets.
A reprieve in MBS prepayment speeds
In this episode, Glenn Schultz, MUFG Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy, talks about the reprieve we will see in prepayment speeds but indicates this is certainly not the end of the refinance wave. He also discusses his view on May prepayment speeds.
Tight cross-currency basis is a reminder of the interdependency between the Treasury and JGB markets
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects securities investing flows over Golden Week and discusses the March Balance of Payment and April International Transactions in Securities data. He also shares his views for Dollar/Yen, Yen basis, and Yen rate.
A reduction in BoJ JGB purchases proves no match to an expanding monetary base and fiscal spending
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido dissects Japan’s April monetary base and fiscal balance, as well as discusses May fiscal fund flows. He also shows his views for Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis.
Could a small step toward post-pandemic policy normalization and tweaks to the structure of U.S. money markets start to normalize cross-currency basis?
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido reviews the Bank of Japan’s April policy meeting, discusses adjustments to the coordinated global central bank effort to supply U.S. Dollar funds, and takes listeners through relative value in cross-border security investments. He also shares his views for Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis.
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For more information,
contact us.
John Cooke
Head of Rates Sales, Americas
New York, NY
1-212-405-7353
John.Cooke@mufgsecurities.com
George Goncalves
Head of U.S. Macro Strategy
New York, NY
1-212-405-6687
George.Goncalves@mufgsecurities.com
Takahiro Sekido
Chief Japan Strategist
Tokyo, Japan
1-81-3-6214-4150
Takahiro_Sekido@mufg.jp
Glenn Schultz
Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy
Chicago, IL
1-212-405-6521
Glenn.Schultz@mufgsecurities.com
The podcast content above is being provided for educational and informational purposes only. The information and comments are not the views or opinions of MUFG Union Bank, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Please consult your attorney, accountant or tax or financial advisor with regard to your particular situation.