In this regular podcast series, MUFG subject matter experts within our business discuss the forces, indications, and policies that impact the U.S. economy and financial markets, and provide updates to their economic outlooks and forecasts for the weeks, months, and years ahead.
July FOMC Preview
Japan takes an early lead in the gold medal count at the Tokyo Olympics while Japanese and foreign investors compete in the investment arena
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses Japanese and foreign investor cross-border flows in June, as well as relative value of JPY bonds in USD terms. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
Do rates always overshoot before bottoms are formed?
George has been watching this market from the sidelines after having gone neutral duration in early July, choosing not to chase the rally but instead see how far it could go before reassessing his views. U.S. 10yr rates then went on to go beyond George’s bottom of his range (1.25%, the low he had penciled in for the 3rd quarter) and then snapped back in the last couple trading sessions. George views that as a healthy start in hopefully what will turn out to be a consolidation, the kind that will give the Fed a chance to taper.
The BoJ’s ESG strategy, Asian investor buying of Agency MBS, and record foreign buying of JGBs ahead of the Tokyo Olympics
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the Bank of Japan’s climate change operations, the May U.S. TIC data, as well as the weekly MoF flow data. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
The BoJ moves to address climate change while Japanese investors cover foreign bond sales and foreigners accelerate Japanese bond purchases
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the BoJ’s efforts to address climate change through monetary operations and cross-border investment flows. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
Reconsidering USDJPY basis arbitrage in light of a more hawkish Fed and changes to the BoJ’s buying plans
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses JPY cross-asset triggers in light of recent developments as well as Japan political risk following the Tokyo Assembly elections. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
The Taper Road Map
In this episode, MUFG Head of U.S. Macro Strategy, George Goncalves, returns to recap, once again, what has felt like an unrelenting rally in long-term rates. He also previews what to look out for in the June FOMC minutes and more broadly what to expect from the Fed and economic data over the course of the third quarter.
Japanese investors continue to buy foreign bonds in the wake of the June FOMC meeting, plus BoJ JPY interest rate incentive schemes and you
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses the latest in Japanese and foreign investor cross-border flows, BoJ’s inaugural JPY interest rate incentivized deposit amount breakdowns, and JPY cross-currency arbitrage opportunities. He also shares his views on the Dollar/Yen, Yen rates, and Yen basis.
ESG’s acceleration: Critical themes to monitor in the year ahead
In today’s episode, Tom Joyce, MUFG Head of Capital Markets Strategy, speaks with Hailey Orr, Capital Markets Strategist and Amanda Kavanaugh, Head of Sustainable Finance, Americas, on the key developments in public policy as well as issuer and investor trends in the U.S. capital markets.
USDJPY basis arbitrage trading in the wake of small but significant changes at both the FOMC and BoJ meetings
In today’s episode, MUFG Chief Japan Strategist Takahiro Sekido discusses last week’s BoJ meeting, JPY cross-currency trading in the wake of the June FOMC meeting, and Japanese investor activity across domestic and foreign bond markets in May. He also shares his views for Dollar/Yen, Yen rate, and Yen basis.
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contact us.
John Cooke
Head of Rates Sales, Americas
New York, NY
1-212-405-7353
John.Cooke@mufgsecurities.com
George Goncalves
Head of U.S. Macro Strategy
New York, NY
1-212-405-6687
George.Goncalves@mufgsecurities.com
Takahiro Sekido
Chief Japan Strategist
Tokyo, Japan
1-81-3-6214-4150
Takahiro_Sekido@mufg.jp
Glenn Schultz
Head of Agency Mortgage Prepayment Modeling and Strategy
Chicago, IL
1-212-405-6521
Glenn.Schultz@mufgsecurities.com
The podcast content above is being provided for educational and informational purposes only. The information and comments are not the views or opinions of MUFG Union Bank, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Please consult your attorney, accountant or tax or financial advisor with regard to your particular situation.